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Lean
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Workshop
Cycle Counting &
Inventory Accuracy
Strategic
Scheduling for Lean Manufacturing

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What Is Cycle Counting?
Cycle counting finds and
corrects inventory record errors. Cycle counters select a small sample
of inventory items for audit each day. The selection is
random or semi-random. When they find errors, they immediately correct
them. Cycle Counting removes errors from
the system, much like a physical inventory, but has significant
advantages.
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Cycle Counting Can...
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Achieve Very High Accuracies
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Level the Workload
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Reduce Inventory
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Continuously Measure Inventory
Accuracy
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Function without Interruption of
Operations
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Facilitate Process Improvement
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Eliminate
The Annual Inventory Audit
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How Cycle Counting Works

Figure 2--Statistical Sampling
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Cycle Counting uses the principle of
statistical inference, just as in opinion polling. In figure
2, we take a
random sample of 100 beans out of the "population" of 3000 beans. If
20% of those beans are red, it infers that 20% (600) of the
population is also red.
Imagine each bean is a different inventory item and
the red beans are items with erroneous records. If we cycle count
100 items (beans) and correct any errors in the records, we have
estimated the accuracy of our inventory records (80%) and
removed 20
errors. |
Repeated over time, the
process measures and improves Inventory Record
Accuracy--provided that errors are removed faster than they are being
introduced. A running chart, as shown in figure
3, thus shows whether the weekly volume of cycle counts is adequate.
Estimating the number of counts required each week
and the staffing required to do them is always an issue when
starting a new program. We address this in our training program,
"Cycle Counting and Physical Inventories." |
Cycle Counting Example

Figure 3--Cycle Counting Results
| Figure 3 shows the
results of a typical cycle counting program. IRA percentages in the
first five weeks showed an accuracy of about 52%. As the program
removed errors from the system, accuracy increased to about 96% by
week 28.
The drop
in accuracy from week 28 through week 35 indicates some
change in
the system. Fewer counts, perhaps, or volume may have increased or
new employees may have introduced more errors. |
Corrective
action was taken about week 36 and accuracy rose again until about
week 40.
From
week 40 through week 52 the system is stable at about 93%.
To
improve further, the organization must reduce the input error rate,
reduce transaction volume or increase the number of weekly cycle
counts. |
Improving Count
Effectiveness
| Cycle counting can
require large efforts, especially when IRA is in the 90%+ range. To
improve error detection and
reduce the number of counts required, several techniques are
available.
Segregate By ABC--
A-B-C classification applies to cycle counting as well as to other
areas of inventory management. The highest cost and most important
items (A-Items) get counted most often. |
Zone The Counts--
this technique groups daily counts into the same zone or area to
reduce travel time for the counters.
Zero on Book Condition--
This guarantees either a fast count or an error for correction.
Zero on Shelf Condition--Another
guaranteed fast count or error discovery.
Negative Balance--
A guaranteed error discovery. |
Hazards In Cycle Counting
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Insufficient Staffing--This usually results from underestimating
the number of counts required when the program is initially
developed.
Diversion of Effort--To the rest of the organization, cycle
counting does not seem to accomplish much of immediate
importance. Cycle counters become a convenient source of staff for
all sorts of odd jobs that arise. Over time the practice of
borrowing cycle counters dilutes the effort and reinforces the
perception of non-accomplishment. |
Ignoring
Error Creation--Error prevention is always more
productive than correction. Some systems create errors so fast
that it is impractical to cycle count enough for high accuracy.
Insufficient Training--Cycle
counters need training on counting properly and also on resolving
discrepancies. Others in the organization need training to support the program.
Motivation--Cycle counting tends
to be boring and specific means should be employed for recognition
and rewards. |
What To Expect
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Cycle
counting, by itself, takes considerable time to show results. As
accuracy rises to the 90% range, further results are even slower
because each weekly sample contains fewer and fewer errors. Figures 4 and 5 illustrate.
With insufficient staffing and counting,
the IRA curve can rise much slower or even decline as counters
struggle against a tide of new errors. The key to improving
effectiveness at high accuracies is prevention through
reducing transaction volume
and reducing transaction errors. |

Figure 4-- IRA with
Cycle Counting |
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There
is, of course, more to implementing and designing
a cycle count program than we present here.
Cycle Counting, itself, can be and should be quite simple
even if the statistical theory is not. |
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